Отправлено: 03.10.12 06:47. Заголовок: MARIO BUNGE BAYESIANISM: SCIENCE OR PSEUDOSCIENCE?

BAYESIANISM: SCIENCE OR PSEUDOSCIENCE?
MARIO BUNGE
Department of Philosophy, McGill University, Canada
ABSTRACT
This is a criticism of Bayesianism, the opinion that all probabilities are a matter of opinion, hence
beyond objective tests. It is shown that the mathematical concept of a probability function makes no
room for a person, and that in physics, chemistry and biology probabilities are objective quantities
subject to calculation and measurement. It is also shown that the use of subjective probabilities in
medicine and criminology is bound to lead to either nonsense or injustice. The upshot is that only the
realistic interpretation of probability, as the quantitation of objective possibility, is legitimate.



Jnte111ational Review ofVictimology. 2008, Vol. IS, pp.165-178
C A B Academic Publishers - Printed in Great Britain

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Марио Бунге когда то известный аргентинский философ
На русский переведены его книги про ПРИЧИННОСТЬ и ИНТУИЦИЮ